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Inflation Fears  Hype versus Reality?


nflation fears and financial market reactions have recently become a daily event. Headlines such as “Inflation fears: what do interest rates tell us?” “China’s inflation accelerates …” and “UK Inflation soars 4% ...”  Headlines are designed to grab attention but the real question is what are inflation expectation numbers revealing right now?

If you worry about inflation, look at the above interactive chart. It shows you the trend of inflation expectations as reflected in interest rates for different time horizons. Click on the dropdown to see details of each maturity. For the details behind the calculation, click the “Interpretation” tab.