13.2 Applications:
Stock Options
In this topic we apply the tools of option pricing theory to
value options trading on IBM at the close of trading on March 24, 1994.
These are American options trading on (dividend-paying) IBM stock, traded
on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT).
An American option on a dividend-paying stock immediately
creates some practical problems. The
most formidable is that there is no closed-form solution to this type of
valuation problem. As a result, we
have to resort to numerical methods to compute the option's value.
Online, you can apply the Option Calculator in Option
Tutor to compute the values of (American) options traded on IBM.
Table 13.1 shows how option prices are quoted in the financial press
(e.g. in The Wall Street Journal).
Column information is interpreted as follows.
Column 1:
The company name, IBM, and the stock’s closing price (from the NYSE).
Column 2:
The strike or exercise price of the option.
Column 3:
The expiration date of the option. Recall
that stock options expire on the Saturday after the third Friday of the month
listed.
Column 4:
An estimate of open interest for the call option.
That is, the number of option contracts outstanding for all exchanges for
the previous trading day (one contract is for 100 stocks).
Note that this information is one-day old, but the price information is
current.
Column 5:
The last traded price for the call option.
Column 6:
Same as column 4, except for the put option; an estimate of open interest
for the put option.
Column 7:
The last traded price for the put option.
A blank
entry in the table means that the option did not trade.
Table
13.1
Option
Prices
|
Option |
|
Expiration |
-Call- |
-Put- |
| ||
|
IBM |
Strike |
Month |
Volume |
Last |
Volume |
Last |
|
|
|
45 |
July |
20 |
12 |
39 |
5/16 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
50 |
April |
205 |
6 5/8 |
568 |
1/8 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
50 |
May |
19 |
7 |
156 |
1/2 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
50 |
July |
111 |
7 3/4 |
106 |
1 3/16 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
55 |
April |
5452 |
2 1/2 |
4076 |
1 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
55 |
May |
268 |
3 1/2 |
454 |
1 15/16 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
55 |
July |
330 |
4 5/8 |
336 |
2 13/16 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
55 |
October |
86 |
6 1/8 |
744 |
3 3/4 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
60 |
April |
4304 |
1/2 |
282 |
4 1/8 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
60 |
May |
806 |
1 5/16 |
202 |
5 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
60 |
July |
627 |
2 3/8 |
145 |
5 5/8 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
60 |
October |
836 |
3 3/4 |
8 |
6 5/8 |
|
|
56 3/8 |
65 |
April |
737 |
1/8 |
|
|
|
|
56 3/8 |
65 |
May |
128 |
7/16 |
|
|
|
|
56 3/8 |
65 |
July |
484 |
1 1/16 |
|
|
|
|
56 3/8 |
65 |
October |
52 |
2 3/16 |
|
|
|
|
56 3/8 |
70 |
July |
298 |
1/2 |
|
|
|
The timing of dividend-related complications are summarized
in the time lines shown in Figure 13.1.
This figure shows you the
critical event dates for the four
expiration months listed in Table 13.1.
Figure 13.1
IBM Option Event Dates
Critical Events
Markets have just completed trading on March 24, 1994.
This fixes the starting date for
determining the remaining life of an
option.
The options are settled on the Saturday after the third
Friday of the expiration month. The
expiration dates are shown on the time
lines.
We have to convert the remaining life of each option into a
proportion of a year.
For example, you can calculate that
there are 58 days remaining in the life of
any May expiration IBM option.
The option pricing model requires
us to express the remaining life in days
as an "annualized time," which
here is 58/365 = 0.1589 of a year.
Online, you can enter the May expiration date, 5/21/94, as
well as “today's date” (which here is
3/24/94) into the date calculator.
If you click on OK, the date
calculator will automatically place the
value 0.1589 into the Maturity field of
the calculator.
The remaining two events in the time line relate to
dividends.
Observe that IBM stock goes
ex-dividend twice during the lives of
these options. The first is in May, and this affects all but the April
option.
The second is in September, which
only affects the October option.
Dividends affect option values,
because if you buy a stock after
ex-dividend date, you do not get the
dividends just declared (although you
would be entitled to future dividends).
The effect of the May ex-dividend date is that IBM's stock
price will adjust for the dividend on this
date, (even though the actual payment date
is June 6, 1994).
Since the value of the option
depends on the stock price, the
ex-dividend price is what is relevant to
optionholders.
Similarly, the price will change
when the stock goes ex-dividend in
September.
The effects of these dividend
payments need to be taken into account
when valuing the option on March 24.
In order to apply the Black-Scholes option pricing model, we
adjust the current IBM stock price by the
present value of the projected
dividend payment.
To do so we need to know five
pieces of information:
1. The
contractual details of the option, such as
maturity date, strike or exercise price,
type (American or European), and whether
it is a put or a call.
2. The term
structure of default-free interest rates.
3. Estimated
dividends over the life of the option.
4. The
volatility of IBM stock.
5. The
appropriate discount rate for critical
cash flow events (such as the payment of
dividends).
IBM options are American and the current strike prices being
traded are provided in Table 13.1. The
time to maturity is computed from the
current date (now) to the Saturday after
the third Friday of the option's
expiration month.
For interest rates, we use the yields on Treasury bills that
mature at dates very close to the option
maturity date and also the ex-dividend
date.
For the latter we will assume that
the default-free interest rate is accurate
to the cent.
These yields (on March 24) are
shown in Table 13.2.
Table 13.2
Treasury Bill Yields
|
Date |
Yield
to Maturity |
|
|
April
16, 1994 |
0.032 |
|
|
May
21, 1994 |
0.034 |
|
|
June
10, 1994 |
0.035 |
|
|
July
16, 1994 |
0.037 |
|
|
September
10, 1994 |
0.04 |
|
|
October
22, 1994 |
0.041 |
|
This table gives you appropriate risk-free interest rates for
the option valuation
problem.
You may recall that
in the Black-Scholes model,
interest rates are assumed
to be constant.
As the table reveals,
in fact they vary with the
time to maturity.
To accommodate this problem, we simply make an approximation
that is widely used in
practice: we value the
option using the yield to
maturity of the Treasury
bill closest to the maturity
date.
For an appropriate
discount rate for dividends,
given the relatively short
times involved, the term
structure of Treasury bills
provides a close enough
estimate.
IBM's last quarter dividend is our estimate for the current
quarter's dividend.
Information on IBM's
recent dividend history
appears in Table 13.3.
Table 13.3
IBM’s Recent Dividend
History
|
Rate |
Type |
Ex-Date |
Payment
Date |
|
|
$0.54 |
Cash |
2/4/93 |
3/10/93 |
|
|
$0.54 |
Cash |
5/6/93 |